Veyron\" post_id=\"2053188\" time=\"1640337898\" user_id=\"30663:I for one don't see what's so 'spot on' about this prediction. It's not wrong, but it's nothing more than we already knew.
My assessment on RGS using historical t score of 260 has been spot on as many parents in RGS forum have expressed their disappointment that their DD didn't managed to get into RGS with AL6.
As I have explained before RGS 2020 t-score cop of 260 very close to AL5 range.
The outcome of the S1 posting is the most important validation.
MOE's simulation already showed RGC COP as AL6, which means the last student admitted had AL6, which also means (most likely) other AL6 students didn't get in. This further means under the new AL system, balloting will take place at AL6. And that's exactly what happened. We knew some AL6 students would be balloted out from the get-go using MOE data!
If your analysis (using historical t-score) can tell us anything additional -- for example, the % of AL6 students got balloted in/out -- then that's helpful. Without that, historical t-score adds nothing to this discussion.
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