2018 P1 registration exercise for 2019 intake

[Lexy]

tinywings:

Lexy:

[quote=\"Orb\"]@Lexy you’re gonna get a lot of request for analysis

really siao liao and i still refining the formula as i go along as i spotted some mistakes. need to take out 40 here 20 there. wl

Lexy, possible to share the analysis for Bukit Merah? This year dunno what happened, Chief Kiasu is out of action. :p[/quote]Here you go
https://s22.postimg.cc/59wvqbs9t/Bukit_Merah2_A2.jpg\">

[Lexy]

mads:

Sengkang also plss...

here:


https://s22.postimg.cc/lenvx5ftt/Sengkang_2_A2.jpg\">

[momi]

Thanks Lexy for the analysis table!! That’s really very helpful. Good luck to everyone!

[gerald32]

Would it be able to analyse the possibility of balloting for ATS for phase 2B now? Would it be highly possible that there may be balloting for < 1km? Thanks.

[gerald32]

Would it be able to analyse the possibility of balloting for ATS for phase 2B now? Would it be highly possible that there may be balloting for < 1km? Thanks.

[Orb]

Definitely balloting <2km. ATS has only 20 seats each for 2B and 2C.

[gerald32]

Within 1km too?

[Orb]

Ooops my bad. Balloting for ATS in phase 2B and 2C <1km and for SC only.

[zac's mum]

Most definitely balloting. SHHK may have controlled the issuance of letters extremely finely until exactly 20 letters given out for ATS applicants (and I heard this does happen)…BUT all it takes is just one GRL to apply and it will be thrown into balloting situation. And believe me, GRL will surely be game for the fight. I don’t foresee any of them living within 1km yet backing down from this chance. CHS is also exactly 20 seats. They may waver between the 2 schools (if they have a boy), but quite high chance both schools also will ballot for 2B and 2C.

[nashi]

:thankyou:

Lexy:

Hope this helps and works. :xedfingers: See below the comparison of 2018 vacancies for 2B vs applicants in 2017. Of the 24 schools highlighted in yellow, St Hila’s has the biggest shortfall (-38), followed by SJIJ (-31), Pei Hwa (-29), Holy Innocents’ (28), St Andrew and Nan Chiau (-24) and Maris Stella (-22). As the table does not take into account subsequent withdrawal and also possibilities of more applicants in 2B, take it as a reference. For those folks who are looking at those with bigger shortfall, have a closer look. I haven't checked much on the table so if you spot some mistake, do point it out. All the best everyone.


https://s22.postimg.cc/mlsmxt6ld/2_B_risk_1.jpg\">
https://s22.postimg.cc/6asj1lh9t/2_B_Risk2.jpg\">
https://s22.postimg.cc/oqczz1l4h/2_B_risk3.jpg\">

This is absolutely helpful! By any chance do u think we can assume same applications for 2B this year and simulate 2C risk and add on to the 2C table also?
So we can plan ahead..
Thanks sooooo much Lexy! :thankyou: