2023 P1 Registration Exercise for 2024 In-take

[blesseddad]

ChiefKiasu\" post_id=\"2115258\" time=\"1690940515\" user_id=\"3:

Apologies, but there was a slight error in our calculation which has been corrected. Everything is in order. But there is indeed a number of schools which people has withdrawn from, and many of these are \"elite\" schools, like NYPS, Nan Chiau and Rosyth! And these happened before the start of Phase 2C, and we continue to see the withdrawals in Day 1 of Phase 2C. It is very strange to see people withdrawing from good schools, for eg. NYPS now has 3 withdrawals. In any case, there will be lots more applicants waiting in the background that will be very thankful.

Nothing strange if parents see long term. There's no affiliation for NYPS boys.

Cannot see 6 years only nowadays. 10 years. 4 years safety net very crucial.

[ChiefKiasu]

I have updated the article https://www.kiasuparents.com/kiasu/article/2023-p1-registration-phase-2c/.


The following are schools which parents should seriously consider instead of just balloting blindly in schools with only a 20% chance of getting in.

Feng Shan Primary has currently 59 applicants out of 93 places.
Opera Estate Primary has currently 68 applicants out of 101 places.
Bukit Timah Primary has currently 62 applicants out of 109 places. May require PR to ballot only.
Raffles Girls’ Primary has currently 72 applicants out of 112 places.
St Margaret’s Primary has currently 60 applicants out of 121 places.
Ngee Ann Primary has currently 89 applicants out of 121 places.
Punggol View Primary has currently 41 applicants out of 90 places.
Waterway Primary has currently 53 applicants out of 120 places.
Woodlands Primary has currently 75 applicants out of 102 places.

[Legin]

ChiefKiasu\" post_id=\"2103268\" time=\"1680059557\" user_id=\"3:

Ai Tong was oversubscribed for those <1km at 205%.
Catholic High was oversubscribed for those <1km at 170%.
Kuo Chuan was oversubscribed for those 1-2km at 128%.

Remember for oversubscription at 1-2km, this excludes the ones who didn't have to ballot because they are <1km. So for KCPS, that 128% is misleading. For example, if 128 people are applying for 100 places, of which 99 are under 1km, then these people will not need to bid. So it will be 29 people balloting for that last remaining place! This, of course is the worst case scenario, but we will never know as MOE does not release detailed information on the bidding process.

You covered a very important note. Hence if one interpret it as 128% thinking it is just 1.28 times over subscribe. 128 applicants to 100 places it is wrong. Indeed for 1-2Km the real number is much diffferent as you put the example above.

If 50 go to under 1Km, then it will be 78 applicants(128-50) to 50 places left for 1-2Km.

So if MOE gives the percentage that need balloting, only the < 1km is totally accurate. Anything that is 1-2Km or > 2km all are not accurate representation right?

[ChiefKiasu]

Legin\" post_id=\"2115384\" time=\"1691025484\" user_id=\"202373:

...
So if MOE gives the percentage that need balloting, only the < 1km is totally accurate. Anything that is 1-2Km or > 2km all are not accurate representation right?

Yes. What you said is generally correct. But there will be some noobs who live more than 1km but die die must apply for that <1km school. As MOE just released the 2022 balloting data, we can tell that there will be a handful of people who could not bid for a <1km school.

[Legin]

Now I just checked MOE site it read:


Nanyang Primary School
Available vacancies in Phase 2C

43

Number of applicants

66

How can we tell out of the 66 which is <1Km or 1-2 or >2Km
It looks like for a top school, the odds are not too bad. Only 66 apply out of left 43 places? Is this interpretation correct?

[blesseddad]

Legin\" post_id=\"2115404\" time=\"1691030316\" user_id=\"202373:

Now I just checked MOE site it read:

Nanyang Primary School
Available vacancies in Phase 2C

43

Number of applicants

66

How can we tell out of the 66 which is <1Km or 1-2 or >2Km
It looks like for a top school, the odds are not too bad. Only 66 apply out of left 43 places? Is this interpretation correct?

we can't tell. so it is like buying lottery. take a gamble.

[Legin]

blesseddad\" post_id=\"2115405\" time=\"1691030402\" user_id=\"6241:

we can't tell. so it is like buying lottery. take a XXXXX.

43 slots with 66 applicants, mean the only 23 will get rejected.
Is this correct? I mean for a top school it seem not too bad. More than 43/66 chance to get admitted!

[blesseddad]

Legin\" post_id=\"2115407\" time=\"1691031225\" user_id=\"202373:

43 slots with 66 applicants, mean the only 23 will get rejected.
Is this correct? I mean for a top school it seem not too bad. More than 43/66 chance to get admitted!

sure. but do have a backup plan in case ended up as 1 of the 23. Don't forget there is still today until 4. so chances may increase.

i pulled out around 3pm on the last day last year.

[skii]

blesseddad\" post_id=\"2115408\" time=\"1691031588\" user_id=\"6241:

sure. but do have a backup plan in case ended up as 1 of the 23. Don't forget there is still today until 4. so chances may increase.

i pulled out around 3pm on the last day last year.

during pre covid time,
some schools provide chairs and \"almost\" real time update of the numbers. (on a white board display)

then at 3:30pm, you see a couple walking towards the GO,
then the crowd will go a little unease.

within 5min, you see the couple leaves
out comes the office clerk and updates the while board.
\"+ 1 to available vacancies\"
(the couple came earlier to withdraw - not to apply)

then the crowd will cheer a little bit
got this unspoked camaraderie


just sharing an interesting episode in my otherwise boring life.
hahhaha

[blesseddad]

skii\" post_id=\"2115417\" time=\"1691038347\" user_id=\"82603:

during pre covid time,
some schools provide chairs and \"almost\" real time update of the numbers. (on a white board display)

then at 3:30pm, you see a couple walking towards the GO,
then the crowd will go a little unease.

within 5min, you see the couple leaves
out comes the office clerk and updates the while board.
\"+ 1 to available vacancies\"
(the couple came earlier to withdraw - not to apply)

then the crowd will cheer a little bit
got this unspoked camaraderie


just sharing an interesting episode in my otherwise boring life.
hahhaha

thank God it is now all done via online. Can't imagine travelling from one sch to another sch to withdraw and submit application.